Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in new poll ahead of presidential debate

Former US President Donald Trump has surged past Vice President Kamala Harris in a poll ahead of the first presidential debate. Polling guru Nate Silver and his prediction model have given Trump a 63.8 per cent chance of winning the Electoral College. Silver provided the prediction forecast update on Sunday after a New York Times/ Sienna College poll put Trump ahead of Harris by one point. Following Harris’ ascension to the top of the Democratic ticket, she has led several national and swing state polls. According to Silver, the shift in the NYT/ Sienna poll proved his election model’s view of a “shift in momentum” in the presidential race. The NYT/ Sienna poll also found that a majority of voters found Harris “too liberal or progressive” on key policies, more so than voters consider Trump “too conservative”.